economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $5.4K in 24h volume, and $79.1K in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$5.4K
Liquidity
$79.1K
This market asks whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy will no longer be President of Ukraine at any point before the end of 2026. It is centered on a single officeholder and a specific deadline, so the key issue is not general political sentiment but whether there is any resignation, removal, or other change in office status before the cutoff.
The event question is straightforward: will Zelenskyy cease to be president of Ukraine before 2027 begins? The rules say the market resolves “Yes” if he is out of office for any period between market creation and December 31, 2026, and it also resolves “Yes” immediately if there is an official announcement of resignation or removal before then, even if the change takes effect later. The resolution source is official information from Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian government, with credible reporting only as a backup if needed.
This market reflects uncertainty around how long Zelenskyy will remain in office during a period when Ukrainian politics are closely tied to wartime governance, constitutional timing, and leadership continuity. Because the contract is tied to a specific end date, readers are really judging whether any formal departure, replacement, or announced removal could happen before then. The disagreement behind the market is less about popularity than about the chance of an actual office change under Ukraine’s official process.
The biggest price movers would be an official resignation statement, a formal removal process, or any government announcement showing that Zelenskyy will stop serving as president before the deadline. Public statements from Zelenskyy himself, actions by Ukraine’s government, or a clearly documented handoff of presidential authority would matter most because the contract is keyed to official resolution language. By contrast, ordinary political speculation or criticism would matter only if it pointed to an actual, verifiable change in office status.
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24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, the most important thing to check is whether Zelenskyy has officially left the presidency, even briefly, before December 31, 2026. Readers should pay attention to the exact wording of any resignation, dismissal, emergency transfer of power, or succession announcement, since the rules treat an announced departure as enough to resolve “Yes” even if the effective date comes later. The main ambiguity risk is whether a reported event is merely political pressure or a formal government action backed by the official source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $5.4K in 24h volume, and $79.1K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
14.5%
No
85.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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