economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.3M
Liquidity
$1.1M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $4.7K in 24h volume, and $40.7K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$40.7K
This market asks whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy will no longer be President of Ukraine at any point before June 30, 2026. Because the rules count even a brief period out of office, the key issue is not only an election result or formal resignation, but any official change in his status before the deadline.
The event is about the presidency of Ukraine and whether Zelenskyy leaves that office before the market’s end date. Under the written rules, a resignation or removal announcement before June 30, 2026 resolves to “Yes” immediately, even if the change takes effect later; otherwise it resolves to “No.” The market says the resolution source is official information from Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian government, though credible reporting may also be used if needed.
Zelenskyy’s status is tied to Ukraine’s wartime politics, constitutional succession, and the question of whether any official transition could happen before the deadline. Readers may care because the market is not asking whether he wins a future election specifically, but whether he ceases to be president in any way at all. That creates uncertainty around resignation, removal, incapacitation, a negotiated handoff, or other official changes that could be announced before they take effect.
Any official statement from Zelenskyy or Ukraine’s government about resignation, dismissal, or a planned transfer of power would be the most direct price mover. Signals about constitutional or wartime election timing, parliamentary action, or a public announcement that he is leaving office would matter because the rules treat an announcement itself as enough to resolve “Yes.” If there is no official change and the presidency continues normally, the market will tend to stay anchored to “No.”
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$1.3M
Liquidity
$1.1M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the exact deadline and the resolution wording: the market ends on June 30, 2026, and it counts any period in which Zelenskyy is not president. Readers should watch for official Ukrainian government statements, Zelenskyy’s own announcements, and any clear confirmation of resignation or removal, since those are the stated resolution sources. One small ambiguity to keep in mind is that the market title, end date, and linked page slug do not perfectly match, so the date shown on the market rules is the one to use.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $4.7K in 24h volume, and $40.7K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
1.3%
No
98.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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