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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) close above $370 end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, and $14.7 in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$14.7
This market asks whether Apple’s stock will finish the final trading day of June 2026 above $370, using the official closing price for AAPL. Because Apple is one of the most closely watched large-cap stocks, even a month-end threshold like this can draw attention from people tracking momentum, earnings expectations, and broader tech sentiment.
The outcome is tied to Apple Inc. (ticker: AAPL) and specifically to the closing price on the last trading day of June 2026. If that official close is higher than $370, the market resolves Yes; if it is $370 or lower, it resolves No. The rules also say that if the month ends with a shortened trading session, that session’s published close still counts, and any stock split or similar corporate action would be handled using split-adjusted Yahoo Finance prices.
The uncertainty here is simple: Apple’s share price has to clear a relatively high round-number level by a fixed date, and the market is debating whether it can do so by month end. For readers, the key question is not Apple’s long-term business quality but whether the stock can trade above a specific threshold on the designated day, which makes this a short-horizon price test rather than a broad company outlook.
What can move this market is any development that changes Apple’s stock price before the June 2026 close, especially company-specific earnings, guidance, product announcements, or major shifts in sentiment around the wider technology sector. Because the cutoff is the last trading day of the month, late moves near the end of June matter more than earlier swings, and any corporate action such as a split would change the comparison only through the adjusted Yahoo Finance price used for resolution.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketBefore resolution, readers should check the official Yahoo Finance historical price page for AAPL, since the market settles on the published ‘Close’ price there. The most important details are the exact final trading day of June 2026, whether that day is shortened, and whether any trading disruption forces the rules to use the last valid on-exchange trade instead of a standard close. The main ambiguity to watch for is not the company’s fundamentals, but whether the final published price is above or below $370 after any adjustment for corporate actions.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple (AAPL) close above $370 end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, and $14.7 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
3.1%
No
97%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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