
--
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $10 end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, and $14.5 in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$14.5
This market is about whether Opendoor Technologies Inc. (ticker: OPEN) will finish June 2026 with a closing price above $10 on the last trading day of the month. Because the question is tied to a single stock and a fixed month-end closing print, the main thing to watch is the company’s share price behavior into the final session of June.
The event asks whether the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final trading day of June 2026 will be higher than $10. If June’s last trading day is shortened, the market still uses that session’s official close; if no official close is published, it falls back to the last valid regular-session trade price. Resolution is based on Yahoo Finance’s Historical Prices page for OPEN, and any stock split or reverse split during the period is handled using split-adjusted prices.
Opendoor is a widely followed, highly volatile housing-tech stock, so a round-number threshold like $10 can become a focal point for traders and observers. The market is pricing disagreement over whether the shares can hold a level that is often viewed as psychologically important and, in some contexts, relevant to how the stock is perceived by the market. The uncertainty is less about the calendar date itself and more about whether OPEN can remain above that threshold by month-end.
The biggest price drivers are likely to be Opendoor-specific developments that affect sentiment around growth, profitability, cash needs, or housing-market exposure, since those factors can move a stock sharply over short periods. Broader market moves in small-cap or consumer/housing-related names can also matter, as can any company filing, earnings release, or corporate action before the end of June. Because the threshold is fixed at $10, even modest moves late in the month could matter if the stock is trading near that level.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the official closing price for OPEN on the final trading day of June 2026, not an intraday quote, since the market settles on the published close. It is also important to verify whether the exchange calendar shows a shortened session or other schedule change, and whether any corporate action such as a split changes the way Yahoo Finance displays the price. If there is a trading halt, system issue, or missing close, the fallback rule uses the last valid on-exchange trade during regular hours, so that detail matters for the final result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $10 end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, and $14.5 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
3.1%
No
97%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+4%
24h Vol
$53.4K
Liquidity
$38K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
-8%
24h Vol
$50.4K
Liquidity
$95.1K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.2%
24h Vol
$25.9K
Liquidity
$143.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.5%
24h Vol
$17.5K
Liquidity
$34.7K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-1.8%
24h Vol
$22.7K
Liquidity
$30.2K
Spread
0%
Live
View market