world
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$473.8K
Liquidity
$214.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $58.1K in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$58.1K
This market asks whether Anthropic will become a publicly traded company by September 30, 2026. For readers following AI-company exits and late-stage funding, the key question is not whether Anthropic is valuable, but whether it completes the legal and exchange-listing steps needed for its shares to open on a public market by the deadline.
Anthropic is the AI company behind Claude, and this market resolves "Yes" only if its shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. The description points to official evidence such as an SEC Form S-1, Form 8-A, exchange listing confirmation, or Anthropic press releases; if Anthropic is acquired by an already public company, the market resolves immediately to "No." Readers should watch for an actual IPO filing, a declared listing date, and trading beginning on a recognized exchange.
Anthropic is a closely watched private AI company, so a public listing would be a major milestone for the firm and for the broader AI sector. The uncertainty is about timing: a company can file, market a deal, delay, or abandon an IPO process, and any of those paths would change how this market resolves. The disagreement reflected here is really about whether Anthropic will complete a public-market debut before the stated deadline, not just whether it is likely to go public eventually.
The biggest price moves would come from concrete IPO signals such as an S-1 filing, confidential filing becoming public, a stated intention to list, or an announced underwriter and exchange. An approved listing date, pricing range, or first-day trading announcement would likely push the market sharply toward "Yes," while delays, a withdrawal, a major financing round, or an acquisition rumor involving a public buyer would pull it toward "No." Because the market resolves on shares being listed and open for trading, even a widely discussed plan will matter less than formal exchange and SEC steps.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$473.8K
Liquidity
$214.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the deadline, check for official SEC filings, Anthropic press releases, and exchange announcements that show the shares are actually listed and trading. The most important detail is the exact cutoff: the market uses September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, so a filing alone is not enough if trading has not started by then. Readers should also be careful about edge cases, since the rules say a public-company acquisition by Anthropic would resolve the market to "No," even if the company remains in the headlines.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $58.1K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
+4.5%
24h Vol
$53.5K
Liquidity
$32.2K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
-6%
24h Vol
$43.4K
Liquidity
$91K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.9%
24h Vol
$27.7K
Liquidity
$36.2K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-0.5%
24h Vol
$18.6K
Liquidity
$34.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market-2.6%
24h Vol
$22.5K
Liquidity
$28.3K
Spread
1%
Live
View market