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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?. The market currently shows a live probability of 25%, $358.5 in 24h volume, and $816.6 in liquidity.
Probability
25%
24h Volume
$358.5
Liquidity
$816.6
This market asks whether Anthropic’s first public stock listing will use the ticker $ANTH, as well as how a slightly modified version of that ticker would be treated under the market rules. Anthropic is a closely watched AI company, so any IPO filing or exchange listing detail about its ticker could settle this page well before the December 31, 2027 deadline.
The core question is simple: if Anthropic goes public, will the official ticker attached to that offering be $ANTH? The rules say that a close variant such as $ANTH.A or $ANTHA would still count as $ANTH, while multiple share-class tickers that are not treated as the same symbol would be decided by which security class has the larger market capitalization on the first trading day. If Anthropic never IPOs, or does not officially announce an IPO and ticker by the deadline, the market resolves to "Other."
Anthropic has become one of the best-known private AI companies, so its eventual public-market branding matters to people following the company, the sector, and the IPO process. Ticker symbols are part of how a company presents itself to investors, and short, recognizable tickers often attract attention because they can signal how the company wants to be identified when it lists.
The biggest price moves would come from an official Anthropic announcement about going public, a filing that names the intended exchange and ticker, or an exchange listing page that confirms the symbol. The market could also shift if Anthropic chooses a ticker that is close to $ANTH but not identical, since the contract explicitly says some variations still count as Yes. If the company announces multiple share classes, the first-day listing details and which class ends up with the larger market capitalization would become important for settlement.
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24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 25% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch for Anthropic’s own announcement and the primary exchange’s official listing information, since those are named as the main resolution sources. The key ambiguity is whether a ticker variation should be treated as the same symbol under the contract rules, and whether any multi-ticker structure changes the outcome at first-day close. If no official IPO and ticker are announced by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other rather than Yes or No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?. The market currently shows a live probability of 25%, $358.5 in 24h volume, and $816.6 in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
24.5%
No
75.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
An official announcement from Anthropic that it will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. If a ticker used by Anthropic in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if Anthropic uses a ticker symbol of $ANTH.A or $ANTHA, this market will resolve to $ANTH). If Anthropic announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $ANTH.A and $ANTH.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until Anthropic's first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. If Anthropic IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic and the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 25%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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