
-5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Vol
$1.5M
Liquidity
$777.4K
Spread
1%
6/15/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $2K in 24h volume, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Probability
8%
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$2.5K
This market asks a narrow question about Donald Trump’s public language toward Pam Bondi before the end of June 30, 2026. It is worth watching because Trump’s public remarks can shift quickly from supportive to critical, and the resolution depends on whether those remarks cross the line into a personal or professional insult.
The market resolves on whether Trump publicly insults, mocks, or attacks Pam Bondi in a clearly negative way between market creation and the deadline. Pam Bondi is a prominent Republican lawyer and former Florida attorney general, so references to her may appear in political commentary, interviews, speeches, social posts, or recorded remarks rather than only in formal settings. The deadline is June 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, and the source of truth is a consensus of credible reporting.
There is room for disagreement because the rules draw a line between ordinary political criticism and language that counts as an insult. A statement about Bondi’s policy views, legal decisions, or performance may not qualify unless Trump uses clearly derogatory personal or professional language. Readers are effectively weighing whether Trump will publicly turn on Bondi in a way that is unmistakable under the market’s wording.
The price is most likely to move if Trump mentions Bondi directly in a speech, interview, post, or recorded comment using hostile language, a nickname, or a plainly demeaning description. It can also move if credible reporting quotes him making such remarks, since the market resolves from reporting consensus rather than from a single platform alone. On the other side, repeated public support for Bondi or only policy-level criticism would tend to keep the market leaning toward No.
The current market price implies roughly a 8% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

-5%
24h Vol
$1.5M
Liquidity
$777.4K
Spread
1%
6/15/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact wording of any Trump statement and whether it is directed at Bondi personally or professionally in a derogatory way. Because the rules exclude ordinary policy disagreement, readers should check whether the language is just critical or whether it clearly insults her as a person or as a public figure. It also matters that the statement be public and fall between market creation and the June 30, 2026 deadline, with credible reporting available to confirm the event.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $2K in 24h volume, and $2.5K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
7.8%
No
92.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 8%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$1.2M
Liquidity
$2.2M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View market
+0.7%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$290.2K
Spread
0%
11/7/2028
View market
--
24h Vol
$4.3M
Liquidity
$98.1K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$93.9K
Liquidity
$358.1K
Spread
0%
4/30/2027
View market
--
24h Vol
$123.7K
Liquidity
$1.1M
Spread
0%
11/7/2028
View market