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😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
9%
-5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Vol
$1.5M
Liquidity
$777.4K
Spread
1%
6/15/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $206.5K in 24h volume, and $30.1K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$206.5K
Liquidity
$30.1K
This market asks whether Jordan Wood will be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine. It is tied to the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary, so the key event is not the general election but who wins the party nomination first.
The question here is simple: will Jordan Wood come out on top in the Maine Democratic Primary for United States Senator? If the state Democratic primary is not held in 2026, the market is set to resolve to "Other" instead. The market ends on July 31, 2026, and the resolution is based first on the Maine Democratic Party’s initial results announcement, with overwhelming credible reporting able to substitute if needed.
This market centers on a candidate-specific nomination contest, where the result depends on who actually wins the party primary rather than on broader statewide sentiment. Jordan Wood’s name matters because the contract is not asking whether a Democrat wins the seat in November; it is asking whether Wood is the Democratic nominee after the primary process. That creates uncertainty around candidacy, ballot access, campaign strength, and how the party’s primary electorate ultimately votes.
Any concrete development that changes Jordan Wood’s standing in the primary can move this market, especially formal campaign announcements, endorsements, filing deadlines, or evidence of a narrowing or widening field. Official primary results, credible reporting on the party’s nomination process, or news that the primary will not take place in the expected form could also matter because the contract explicitly covers the fallback to "Other." Because the resolution source prioritizes the Maine Democratic Party’s first results announcement, the market can move sharply as that date approaches and the nominee becomes clearer.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-5%
24h Vol
$1.5M
Liquidity
$777.4K
Spread
1%
6/15/2026
View marketReaders should watch the official primary calendar, candidate filing rules, and the Maine Democratic Party’s results announcement, since those are the main resolution anchors. It is also worth checking whether a 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary actually occurs, because the rules say the market resolves to "Other" if no primary is held. If the official announcement is delayed or unclear, the contract allows overwhelming credible reporting to matter, so the exact wording and source of any results will be important.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $206.5K in 24h volume, and $30.1K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine. If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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