
+0.1%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$473.8K
Liquidity
$214.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?. The market currently shows a live probability of 72%, $2.7K in 24h volume, and $2.2K in liquidity.
Probability
72%
24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?. The market currently shows a live probability of 72%, $2.7K in 24h volume, and $2.2K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
71.5%
No
28.5%
Polymarket has not provided a clear end date for this market yet.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets

+0.1%
24h Vol
$473.8K
Liquidity
$214.1K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 72%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+4.5%
24h Vol
$53.5K
Liquidity
$32.2K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
-6%
24h Vol
$43.4K
Liquidity
$91K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.9%
24h Vol
$27.7K
Liquidity
$36.2K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-0.5%
24h Vol
$18.6K
Liquidity
$34.6K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
-2.6%
24h Vol
$22.5K
Liquidity
$28.3K
Spread
1%
Live
View market