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Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $954.7K in 24h volume, and $35.5K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$954.7K
Liquidity
$35.5K
This market asks whether SpaceX will choose the ticker symbol $STAR for its eventual public listing. It is a focused question about the company’s IPO branding, not about whether SpaceX goes public in some broader sense, and the deadline is December 31, 2027.
The key issue is the public ticker SpaceX would use in an IPO, with a special rule that an official SpaceX announcement naming a ticker is enough to settle the market. If SpaceX uses a ticker that is a close variant of a listed symbol, the market treats it as that symbol, and if multiple tickers are used, the resolution depends on which security class has the larger first-day market capitalization. If SpaceX never IPOs, uses a non-listed ticker, or does not officially announce a qualifying ticker by the deadline, the market resolves to “Other.”
SpaceX is one of the most closely watched private companies in the market, so even the ticker name for a possible IPO carries uncertainty and attention. The disagreement here is not about SpaceX’s long-term prospects, but about whether the company would actually adopt the specific symbol $STAR rather than another ticker or no IPO at all by the resolution date. The current pricing shown on the page suggests traders see that exact outcome as unlikely.
The biggest price moves would come from an official SpaceX IPO filing, a company statement about listing plans, or any announcement that explicitly names the ticker. A filing that points to a different ticker would push this market away from $STAR, while confirmation that SpaceX will not pursue a public listing on the timeline would also matter. Because the rules allow an announcement alone to resolve the market, even a pre-IPO press release could be decisive.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$479.4K
Liquidity
$247.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketReaders should watch for any official SpaceX filing or announcement that identifies the ticker symbol, since that is the source of truth for settlement. The wording matters: the market is keyed to a public ticker used in a qualifying IPO, and the rules also spell out how to handle class-share variants and multiple tickers. If no official announcement appears by the deadline, or if the company lists under a different symbol, the market does not resolve to Yes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $954.7K in 24h volume, and $35.5K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS). If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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