
+0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $61.6 in 24h volume, and $93.3 in liquidity.
Probability
46%
24h Volume
$61.6
Liquidity
$93.3
This market asks whether Keir Starmer will say the word “King” or “Queen” during his next appearance at Prime Minister’s Questions in the Commons. It is a narrow language-based event tied to a scheduled Westminster session, so the key question is not policy but whether the exact term is spoken on the floor of the House.
The event is Starmer’s next Prime Minister’s Questions session in the Palace of Westminster, the weekly Commons exchange where the prime minister answers MPs’ questions. The market resolves Yes if he says the listed term during that specific PMQs appearance, and No if he does not; the rules say any use of the term counts, including possessive or plural forms, and even compound words that contain the term. If no such PMQs happens by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or if Starmer is no longer prime minister by that deadline, the market resolves No.
This market is about a highly specific, time-bounded speaking event where a single word can decide the outcome. Starmer’s answer style, the subject matter of that day’s questioning, and whether MPs prompt references to the monarchy can all matter, which makes this a live question rather than a trivial one. The disagreement in the market is essentially about how likely the relevant word is to come up naturally in one PMQs session.
The biggest price moves usually come from knowing what topics are likely to dominate the next PMQs: constitutional issues, ceremonial references, royal family questions, or comparisons that might lead Starmer to say “King” or “Queen.” If the day’s questions are expected to focus on monarchy-related subjects, public events involving the Crown, or language that routinely includes those terms, that can increase the chance of a Yes resolution. By contrast, if the session is likely to center on domestic policy with little reason to mention the monarchy, the No side can strengthen.
Related markets

+0.1%
24h Vol
$2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 46% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the exact PMQs session Starmer participates in, since the market is tied to the next one rather than any future appearance. The resolution depends on the spoken record of that session and the rule that any usage of the term counts, including possessives, plurals, and compounds, while AI-generated audio or video does not. The deadline and fallback conditions matter too: if the session does not happen by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or Starmer is no longer prime minister before then, the market resolves No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $61.6 in 24h volume, and $93.3 in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
46%
No
54%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 11, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 46%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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