
+0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?. The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, $5 in 24h volume, and $106.9 in liquidity.
Probability
60%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$106.9
This market asks a very specific question about Keir Starmer’s next appearance at Prime Minister’s Questions in the House of Commons: will he say the phrase “Public Health” at least once? Because PMQs is a live, unscripted parliamentary exchange, even a short phrase can decide the result, which makes this the kind of market where wording and timing matter more than broad political themes.
The event is the next Prime Minister’s Questions session that Starmer participates in before the market’s deadline. The market resolves Yes if he says “Public Health” in any context during that appearance, including plural or possessive forms if they fit the listed term under the rules, and No if he does not. The title and rules make clear that the exact phrase matters, and that AI-generated audio or video does not count.
PMQs is one of the most watched moments in UK politics, and Starmer’s choice of language can vary depending on the questions he faces, the government’s priorities, and the topic he wants to emphasize. A phrase like “Public Health” is specific enough that it may be said naturally if the discussion turns to hospitals, the NHS, disease prevention, or public services, but it is far from guaranteed in a single session. That uncertainty is what the market is pricing.
Price can move if the next PMQs agenda is expected to focus on health policy, the NHS, winter pressures, or related legislation, because those topics make the target phrase more plausible. It can also move if Starmer’s recent speaking style suggests he is likely to use that exact wording, or if the market gets closer to the session without any indications that the phrase will be central. Since the market resolves on a single appearance, even a small change in expectations about the topic mix can matter.
Related markets

+0.1%
24h Vol
$2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 60% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the exact wording in the market rules and the deadline, because the phrase must be spoken by Starmer during the next PMQs he participates in, not merely referred to by others. The source of truth will be the parliamentary record or a reliable transcript/video of the session, and the rule set also states that if no qualifying PMQs occurs by June 30, 2026, or if Starmer is no longer Prime Minister under the stated cutoff, the market resolves No. One thing to verify carefully is the resolution language for the final condition, since the provided description is truncated and may contain an additional clause beyond what is visible here.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?. The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, $5 in 24h volume, and $106.9 in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 11, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 60%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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