
+0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Starmer say "Public School" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?. The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, $50 in 24h volume, and $109 in liquidity.
Probability
40%
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$109
This market asks whether Keir Starmer will say the exact phrase “Public School” during his next appearance at Prime Minister’s Questions in the House of Commons. Because PMQs is a tightly watched weekly session, even a single phrase can determine the outcome here.
The event is the next Prime Minister’s Questions session that Starmer participates in, with the market set to resolve based on whether he says the term “Public School” before the session ends. The rules say any use of the listed term counts, including plural or possessive forms, and a compound-word use would also count if it matches the term’s resolution guidance. If no qualifying PMQs happens by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or if Starmer is no longer Prime Minister by then, the market resolves to No.
This market is about the small but real uncertainty around live parliamentary language: even experienced political speakers do not always know in advance which words will come out in debate. The phrase “public school” is also a politically loaded British term, so readers may care not just about whether it is said, but whether it appears in the context of education, class, or political sparring. The disagreement priced here is essentially whether Starmer will naturally use that specific phrase in the next PMQs exchange.
The biggest price moves would come from the announced topic of the next PMQs, Starmer’s likely lines of attack or defense, and whether education, class background, or private schooling becomes a live theme in the chamber. If the question list, party messaging, or nearby political debate makes “public school” a likely phrase, the Yes side could strengthen; if the session looks focused on unrelated issues, No becomes more likely. Because the market resolves on the exact wording, even a brief aside or off-script remark would matter.
Related markets

+0.1%
24h Vol
$2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 40% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should check the rules carefully: the source of truth is Starmer’s spoken words during the next PMQs event he participates in, not transcripts of other events, interviews, or AI-generated media. The deadline shown on the market is June 11, 2026 at 03:59 UTC, while the fallback no-event deadline in the rules is June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, so the exact resolution path depends on whether a qualifying PMQs occurs before then. The main ambiguity risk is wording: only the listed term and approved variants count, so a closely related phrase that does not match the rule would not be enough.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Starmer say "Public School" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?. The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, $50 in 24h volume, and $109 in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
39.5%
No
60.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 11, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 40%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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