
+0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $10 in 24h volume, and $95.1 in liquidity.
Probability
24%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$95.1
This market asks a very narrow question about Keir Starmer’s next appearance at Prime Minister’s Questions: will he say the word “Sport” at least once? Because PMQs is a short, tightly scripted Commons event where wording matters, small phrasing choices can decide the outcome.
The subject is Keir Starmer, the UK Prime Minister and leader of the opposition-turned-government figure who answers questions in the House of Commons during Prime Minister’s Questions. The market resolves “Yes” if, during the next PMQs event he participates in, he says the term “Sport” in any counted form; plural and possessive forms count, but other forms do not, and any usage in a compound word also counts. It resolves “No” if he does not say the term at that event, or if no such PMQs occurs by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or if Starmer is no longer Prime Minister by that deadline, per the market rules.
This is a language-specific parliamentary market, so the uncertainty is not about policy direction but about a single word appearing in a live Commons exchange. PMQs often touches on current issues, and words tied to public services, athletics, school programs, or national events can come up naturally, but there is no guarantee Starmer will use this exact term. The market is pricing a simple question: will the next PMQs include a direct mention of “Sport,” in the exact way the rules define it?
The price can move quickly if Starmer’s prepared remarks, follow-up answers, or opening lines suggest he is likely to mention sport-related topics. Headlines or expected questions about funding, schools, community programs, major tournaments, or national sporting events could make the word more likely to surface, while a PMQs focused on unrelated themes could push the odds lower. Because the rule counts any use of the term, even a brief aside or compound-word usage could matter.
Related markets

+0.1%
24h Vol
$2M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 24% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the actual transcript or official record of Starmer’s next PMQs appearance, since the market resolves from the spoken word itself rather than commentary or paraphrase. Readers should also check the deadline and fallback rule: if no qualifying PMQs happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if Starmer is no longer Prime Minister by then, the market resolves to “No.” The description appears truncated after that condition, so the most important practical point is the official wording on the page and the event transcript that establishes whether the term was spoken.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $10 in 24h volume, and $95.1 in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
24%
No
76%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 11, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 24%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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